The BTC Flash Crash

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The Phenom Weekly Update

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Hey Phenoms,

Welcome back. Never feels good when the markets are down but it is nice to have something besides sideways movement for a change! Generally, August/September are poorly performing months. Hopefully, this fall kicks off some soldi upward price action.

This week we cover:

  • The Bitcoin Flash Crash 📉

  • What is Friend.tech 👬

  • BTC is a low-risk asset?

  • How to spot a rug pull

Market Rundown

Just like we called last week, volatility is back. The market has been crashing this week and is in a solid state of fear, presenting us with another great buying opportunity.

Bitcoin Flash Crash

As you may have read in last weeks newsletter we expected a return to volatility and boy did we get it. BTC flash crashed last week and drug the entire market down with it. Bitcoin is currently sitting nearly 9% down on the week and we could be in for more pain in the short term.

Here is why:

Short term investors (holders that have held for less than 155 days) are in the red on their BTC. 📉 According to Glassnode, 88% of short term holders are underwater after last weeks crash.

Courtesy of @milesdeutscher

This is bearish in the short term. Over the past week we’ve seen short term holders dumping their holdings to stop losses. This creates sell pressure, further decreasing the price which can lead to more holders underwater and more sell pressure.

Our Take:

We expect this cycle to play out and drive BTC lower going into September (historically BTC’s worst performing month). We will be keeping an eye on key price levels but view this as a short term buying opportunity.  

Protocol Preview

Friend.Tech

What is it? Friend.Tech is a new social protocol built on the Coinbase Base layer.

  • It integrates with Twitter/X to build your social graph.

  • Users can buy and sell “shares” of people/profiles.

  • Invite only - right now .

  • 10% transaction fee. 5% goes to protocol and 5% goes to the use who’s shares are being traded.

Right now Friend.Tech is riding a hype train. According to Dune Analytics, Friend.Tech has:

  • 1M+ total transactions

  • $62.5M in total trading volume

  • 90,000+ unique traders

  • The top creators have made $100,000+ in revenue

Pretty impressive numbers for a brand new protocol but crypto projects are hard and social apps are even harder.. Time will tell if it stays successful. Right now Friend.Tech is the new shiny thing. Most likely it will continue to grow over the next few months but could see waining interest as the hype dies down.

The Twitterverse

A collection of the most interesting stuff on Crypto Twitter this week


Risky take: BTC is a low risk asset

Still in the accumulating phase. Fear is high, greed is low.

Looking for new micro caps to ape into for the next 10000x? This is a great guideline for avoiding rug pulls

Phenom News

Stay up to date with the latest news and trends

Closing the ledger for now, but the crypto revolution continues. Stay curious, stay bold, and keep chasing those blockchain gains!

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